60 Minutes: Episode, Nov 30, 2025
Polymarket What will Shayne say during 60 Minutes?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Airdrop | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bet on your Beliefs | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuck | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Domer / Domah / Car / aenews | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mention | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Predict / Prediction 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Suit / Mineral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC / Dana White | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Gaza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-shayne-say-during-60-minutes · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP