60 Minutes: Episode, Dec 8, 2025
Kalshi What will Marjorie Taylor Greene say on 60 Minutes?
Markets
16 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Georgia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Traitor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Migrant / Border | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Free Speech / Freedom of Speech | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Charlie / Turning Point | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKX60MINMENTION-25DEC08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP