Will Michael Barr say “Trump”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr did not say “Trump” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=trump

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Trump

Probability
19% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Barr say during remarks on the state of the U.S. Economy? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during his housing affordability address? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during the Rural Investment Forum? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during his AI speech? · not listed

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What will Fed Governor Barr say during his stablecoin discussion? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during speech on stablecoins? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 31, 2026TrumpKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr did not say “Trump” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Trump” next time?
19%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP