Michael Barr: Panel, Mar 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Fed Governor Barr say during his stablecoin discussion?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Treasury | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Currency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Smart Contract | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transparency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockchain | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBARRMENTION-26MAR31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP