Michael Barr: Speech, Oct 17, 2025
Kalshi What will Fed Gov Barr say during speech on stablecoins?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank / Banking | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Genius Act | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| KYC / Know Your Customer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regulation / Regulatory / Regulator | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reserve | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockchain | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CBDC / Central Bank Digital Currency | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Circle | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Decentralized | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dogecoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lend / Lending | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tether | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tokenization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBARRMENTION-25OCT17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP