Will Michael Barr say “Mortgage”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Mortgage” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

72%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=mortgage

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Mortgage

Probability
72% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026MortgageKalshiYes
Sep 23, 2026MortgageKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Mortgage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Mortgage” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Mortgage” next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Mortgage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/mortgage (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=mortgage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP