Will Michael Barr say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Michael Barr did not say “Iran / Iranian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Iran / Iranian

Probability
24% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Barr say during remarks on the state of the U.S. Economy? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Fed Gov Barr say during his housing affordability address? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Fed Gov Barr say during the Rural Investment Forum? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Fed Gov Barr say during his AI speech? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Fed Governor Barr say during his stablecoin discussion? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Fed Gov Barr say during speech on stablecoins? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Michael Barr did not say “Iran / Iranian” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP