Will Michael Barr say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

25%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
25% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Mar 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
25%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP