Will Michael Barr say “Labor / Employment / Unemployment”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Michael Barr said “Labor / Employment / Unemployment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

72%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Labor / Employment / Unemployment

Probability
72% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026Labor / Employment / UnemploymentKalshiYes
Sep 23, 2026Labor / Employment / UnemploymentKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Labor / Employment / Unemployment”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Michael Barr said “Labor / Employment / Unemployment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Labor / Employment / Unemployment” next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Labor / Employment / Unemployment’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/employment-or-labor-or-unemployment (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=employment%20%2F%20labor%20%2F%20unemployment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP