Will Michael Barr say “Afford / Affordability / Affordable”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Afford / Affordability / Affordable” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michael Barr

Afford / Affordability / Affordable

Probability
28% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michael Barr yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Barr say during remarks on the state of the U.S. Economy? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during his housing affordability address? · settled yes

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during the Rural Investment Forum? · settled yes

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during his AI speech? · settled no

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What will Fed Governor Barr say during his stablecoin discussion? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Barr say during speech on stablecoins? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2026Afford / Affordability / AffordableKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2026Afford / Affordability / AffordableKalshiYes
Apr 14, 2026Afford / Affordability / AffordableKalshiYes
Apr 1, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Michael Barr say “Afford / Affordability / Affordable”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michael Barr said “Afford / Affordability / Affordable” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 23, 2026.
What is the probability Michael Barr says “Afford / Affordability / Affordable” next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michael Barr: ‘Afford / Affordability / Affordable’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michael-barr/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michael-barr&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michael-barr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP