Will “Trump” be said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was not said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon&word=trump

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Trump

Probability
24% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Will Smith say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will A$AP Rocky say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Linus Sebastian say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ben Affleck or Matt Damon say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Carmelo Anthony say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Timothée Chalamet say during The Tonight Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cynthia Erivo say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 20, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was not said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP