The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: Episode, Jan 16…
Kalshi What will Linus Sebastian say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?
Markets
9 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robot / Robotics | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AMD | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Badminton | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Game / Gaming / Gamer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Las Vegas / CES | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nvidia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP