The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: Episode, Jan 14…
Kalshi What will Ben Affleck or Matt Damon say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?
Markets
9 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cop | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Miami | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Odyssey / Odysseus / Homer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Christopher Nolan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gluten / Bread | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| The Rip | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN14B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP