The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: Episode, Jan 20…
Kalshi What will A$AP Rocky say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?
Markets
9 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York / Harlem | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Album | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rihanna | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chanel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Don't Be Dumb | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SNL / Saturday Night Live | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rap / Rapper / Rapping | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP