The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: Episode, Jan 21…
Kalshi What will Will Smith say during The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?
Markets
7 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jada | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pole to Pole | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chris Rock | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disney / Disney+ / Hulu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Geographic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Slap / Slapped | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Travel / Traveled / Traveling | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP