What is the probability “SNL / Saturday Night Live” is said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon next time?

27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “SNL / Saturday Night Live” be said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon next time?

Name: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: “SNL / Saturday Night Live” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “SNL / Saturday Night Live” was not said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 20, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 05:16 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

SNL / Saturday Night Live

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jan 20, 2026	SNL / Saturday Night Live	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often is “SNL / Saturday Night Live” said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon?: As of Oct 26, 2026, “SNL / Saturday Night Live” was not said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 20, 2026.
What is the probability “SNL / Saturday Night Live” is said on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon next time?: 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: ‘SNL / Saturday Night Live’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon/words/saturday-night-live-or-snl (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon&word=saturday%20night%20live%20%2F%20snl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP