Will “Red Flag” be said on Love Island USA next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Flag” was said on Love Island USA in 3 of 18 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jun 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history only · n=18counts: anyone
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=love-island-usa&word=red%20flag

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Love Island USA

Red Flag

Probability
19% · n=18
Settled
3/18 (17%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for Love Island USA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the cast say during the Love Island Finale? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 33? · settled no

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What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 32? · settled no

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What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 31? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 30? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 29? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during Love Island USA Episode 28? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 27? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the cast say during Love Island Episode 26? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 19 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 12, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 11, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 11, 2026Red FlagKalshiNo
Jul 10, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 9, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 7, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 6, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 5, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 4, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 3, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jul 2, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jun 30, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jun 29, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jun 28, 2026Red FlagPolymarketYes
Jun 27, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jun 26, 2026Red FlagPolymarketYes
Jun 25, 2026Red FlagPolymarketNo
Jun 20, 2026Red FlagKalshiNo
Jun 6, 2026Red FlagKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Red Flag” said on Love Island USA?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Flag” was said on Love Island USA in 3 of 18 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jun 28, 2026.
What is the probability “Red Flag” is said on Love Island USA next time?
19%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Love Island USA: ‘Red Flag’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/love-island-usa/words/red-flag (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=love-island-usa&word=red%20flag · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=love-island-usa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP