# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-09-28 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-22-28 · as_of 2026-10-26T04:42:34Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-28 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-22-28 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	21	16	0.76	YYnnYYnYYY	0.7	hist	0	0	yes	1
Horror show	horror show	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	0	0	no	1
Antifa	antifa	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Tyler / Mangione / Kennedy	kennedy|mangione|tyler	0	0			0.52	hist	0	0	no	1
Antisemitic / Antisemitism	antisemitic|antisemitism	0	0			0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Palestine / Palestinian	palestine|palestinian	0	0			0.44	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	127	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	0	0	no	1
Australia	australia	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Bagram	bagram	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Big trouble	big trouble	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Gross incompetence	gross incompetence	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Humanity	humanity	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
TikTok Jack	tiktok jack	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	no	1