Will Donald Trump say “Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I don't understand it. We conducted large numbers of military strikes to smash the drug cartels and we brought the flow of deadly drugs coming
We conducted large numbers of military strikes to smash the drug cartels. And we brought the flow of deadly drugs coming in by ocean and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Drug cartel / Narco-terrorist’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/drug-cartel-or-narco-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=drug%20cartel%20%2F%20narco%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP