Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 24, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (August 18 - 24)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Aug 18, 2025 to Aug 24, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
8 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Doug / Burgum | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dictator | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid person | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blackwell | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel / Prize | No | – | 0 | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-august-18-24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP