# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-04-16 · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16 · as_of 2026-10-25T20:14:43Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff 3+ times	tariff#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	no
Joe / Biden 3+ times	biden|joe#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.49	hist	no
Beautiful	beautiful	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.46	hist	yes
Peace	peace	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	yes
God 3+ times	god#3	3	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.42	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Jew / Jewish	jew|jewish	1	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Easter 2+ times	easter#2	2	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Faith	faith	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Jesus 3+ times	jesus#3	3	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Pope	pope	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Resurrection	resurrection	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes