Will “Red” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red” was said on All-In Podcast in 5 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 26, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Red
- Probability
- 49% · n=10
- Settled
- 5/10 (50%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a lot of people who say it's just regulatory capture. And that is true. But I think that the red capture is the government affairs
…grant you a monopoly on frontier AI or a duopoly through this red capture. So you've got to give up on that game. It's patently…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Red |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Red” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red” was said on All-In Podcast in 5 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 26, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Red” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Red’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/red (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=red · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP