# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-05-31 (settled) · 29 words · P p:what-animals-will-trump-say-in-may · as_of 2026-10-27T14:12:44Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-31 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-animals-will-trump-say-in-may (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Snake	snake	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tiger	tiger	4	2	0.5	YnYn	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cat	cat	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Dog	dog	9	3	0.33	YnYnnnnnY	1	0	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Shark	shark	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Eagle	eagle	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Fish	fish	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Mosquito	mosquito	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Hawk	hawk	0	0			1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Bird	bird	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Kangaroo	kangaroo	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Pig	pig	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Turkey / Turkiye	turkey|turkiye	0	0			1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Chicken	chicken	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Rabbit / Bunny	bunny|rabbit	0	0			1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Goat	goat	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Bear	bear	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Bull	bull	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Deer	deer	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Elephant	elephant	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Frog	frog	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Giraffe	giraffe	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Hippo / Hippopotamus	hippo|hippopotamus	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Lion	lion	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Mouse	mouse	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Panther	panther	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Turtle	turtle	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Whale	whale	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Wolf	wolf	0	0			1	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no	1