# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2025-10-01 · 15 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25OCT01 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:42:20Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-10-01 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25OCT01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 49 Episode 2 scheduled for October 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Alliance	alliance	1	0	0		0.31	no
Blindside / Blind Side	blind side|blindside	1	0	0		0.31	yes
Boston Rob	boston rob	1	0	0		0.31	no
Bromance	bromance	1	0	0		0.31	no
Cinema	cinema	1	0	0		0.31	no
Drop Your Buffs (2+ times)	drop your buff#2	2	0	0		0.31	no
Fake	fake	1	0	0		0.31	no
Fiji	fiji	1	0	0		0.31	yes
Immunity	immunity	1	0	0		0.31	yes
Quit	quit	1	0	0		0.31	no
Risk	risk	1	0	0		0.31	no
Target	target	1	0	0		0.31	no
Trust	trust	1	0	0		0.31	yes
Unfair	unfair	1	0	0		0.31	no
Weak	weak	1	0	0		0.31	no