Will Kristi Noem say “Trump”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

63%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kristi Noem

Trump

Probability
63% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Kristi Noem say during her Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during the hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during the Oversight hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kristi Noem say during Face the Nation? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 15 by speakers the rule does not count.

Kristi NoemguestIn transcript

…murderer off the streets of Minneapolis, the public is safer. And President Trump is keeping his promise to the American people. And we literally have…

Kristi NoemguestIn transcript

…American people, and they will keep doing that because they believe in enforcing the law, which is exactly what President Trump has charged them with.

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 14, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes3

Questions

How often does Kristi Noem say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026.
What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Trump” next time?
63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP