# Kristi Noem (kristi-noem) · presser 2026-02-05 · 12 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26FEB05 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:04:23Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-05 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-18 (under 2 presser transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26FEB05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kristi Noem says {word} as part of press conference to announce updates to border wall construction, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
Biden	biden	0	0		1	1	0.42	yes
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	0	0		1	0	0.42	no
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0		1	1	0.42	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	0	0		1	0	0.42	yes
Homan / Bovino	bovino|homan	0	0		1	0	0.42	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0		1	1	0.42	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	0	0		1	0	0.42	yes
Mexico	mexico	0	0		1	0	0.42	yes
National Security	national security	0	0		1	0	0.42	no
Rio Grande	rio grande	0	0		1	0	0.42	no
Traffic / Trafficking	traffic|trafficking	0	0		1	0	0.42	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		1	1	0.42	yes