# Fox News (fox-news-interviews) · tv_episode 2026-04-15 · 13 words · K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR15B · as_of 2026-10-24T19:26:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR15B ({word} = w of K rows): If John Thune says {word} as part of Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran	iran	1	10	5	0.5	nYYYYnnnYn	0.49	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	9	4	0.44	nYnnYYnYn	0.41	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.36	hist	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	1	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.31	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.26	hist	yes
Election	election	1	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.24	hist	yes
National Security	national security	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.24	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Filibuster	filibuster	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Tax Cut	tax cut	1	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Cheat / Cheating	cheat|cheating	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.31	prior	no