Elon Musk: Posts, week ending Oct 25, 2026
Polymarket lists 11 words for Elon Musk’s posts in the week ending Oct 25, 2026; 3 have settled so far, 3 of them Yes.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | Yes | ≈33 | 37 | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla | Yes | ≈25 | 25 | 94%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Genius | Yes | ≈1 | 1 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rocket | open | 8 | 8 | –new new word, no probability yet | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Legal | open | 1 | 1 | –new new word, no probability yet | 50¢ Polymarket |
| Canyon | open | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | 49¢ Polymarket |
| Evel Knievel | open | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | 37¢ Polymarket |
| Flying Car | open | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | 49¢ Polymarket |
| James Bond | open | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | 37¢ Polymarket |
| Roadster | open | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | 44¢ Polymarket |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | open | – | 0 | 3%n=10 from settlement history | 46¢ Polymarket |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownPosts by @elonmusk on X, via Polymarket's XTracker (reposts included: counts are approximate) · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/elon-musk:2026-10-25:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=elon-musk:2026-10-25:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP