Will Elon Musk say “James Bond”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Elon Musk saying “James Bond” has settled yet.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
27%base rate for a new wordNext: Posts window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 35¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elon Musk
James Bond
- Probability
- 27% · prior
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘James Bond’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/james-bond (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=james%20bond · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP