Will Elon Musk say “Canyon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Elon Musk saying “Canyon” has settled yet.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
27%base rate for a new wordNext: Posts window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 49¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceElon Musk
Canyon
- Probability
- 27% · prior
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Canyon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/canyon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=canyon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP