JPMorgan (JPM): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026

Tue, Oct 13Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptJPMorgan

On its Oct 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), JPMorgan said 13 of the 28 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

28 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 28 of 28

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Quarter 15+ timesYes3030✓77%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:02, Quarter 15+ times–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes2121✓92%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:02, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
Wholesale 3+ timesYes1010✓86%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:43, Wholesale 3+ times–
Margin Yes77✓92%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:46, Margin–
Money 5+ timesYes77✓58%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:06, Money 5+ times–
Inflation Yes44✓80%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:21, Inflation–
Loan Yes33✓94%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:58, Loan–
Leverage Yes33✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 36:42, Leverage–
Buyback / Buy Back Yes35✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 16:11, Buyback / Buy Back–
Hike / Hiked Yes22✓20%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:22, Hike / Hiked–
Credit Card Yes11✓66%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 40:47, Credit Card–
Hiring Yes11✓63%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:20, Hiring–
Fintech Yes11✓49%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:14, Fintech–
Trading No00✓86%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
M&A / Merger No00✓81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Regulation No00✓74%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Apple No00✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Housing No00✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Reduction No00✓53%transcripts from the transcript model–
Real Estate No00✓49%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sapphire No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Geopolitical No00✓38%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin No00✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓29%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Rate Cut / Cut Rates No00✓28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Blockchain No00✓21%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Lawsuit No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Clarity Act No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Operatoroperator“Quarter (15+)” · prepared · 0:04Hear it 0:01, Operator

Morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to JPMorgan Chase's third quarter 2026 earnings call. This call is being recorded. Your line will be muted for the…

Ebrahim Poonawalaanalyst“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · qa · 6:04Hear it 5:59, Ebrahim Poonawala

…maybe one question, there's been a lot of discussion around all things AI over the last couple of months. Maybe if there are two things…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Wholesale (3+)” · qa · 12:45Hear it 12:42, Jeremy Barnum

…you've seen this year. So both continued modest consumer deposit growth, continued wholesale deposit growth, probably the wholesale a bit weaker than what was very…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Margin” · prepared · 3:48Hear it 3:45, Jeremy Barnum

…and Wealth Management. AWM reported net income of $1.8 billion with pretax margin of 36%. Revenue of $6.9 billion was up 14% year-on-year, predominantly driven…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Money (5+)” · qa · 8:08Hear it 8:02, Jeremy Barnum

…remains focusing on primary bank share, not chasing every dollar of yield-seeking money. So that doesn't mean that competitive pressure isn't real. It just means…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Inflation” · prepared · 1:23Hear it 1:17, Jeremy Barnum

…volume and revenue-related expense, as well as front office hiring and wage inflation. Credit costs were $2.7 billion, with net charge-offs of $2.2 billion, and…

Glenn Schorranalyst“Loan” · qa · 41:55Hear it 41:49, Glenn Schorr

…equity markets don't know anything about that and don't care, but bank loan books and bond books and insurance portfolios do. So I guess my…

Gerard Cassidyanalyst“Leverage” · qa · 36:44Hear it 36:44, Gerard Cassidy

…industry has grown dramatically and now in their eyes, a systemic risk. Leverage finance in particular was highlighted as another high risk. Obviously, that is…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Buyback / Buy Back” · qa · 16:13Hear it 16:13, Jamie Dimon

…That is the highest and best use of capital for shareholders. Obviously, buyback comes after that, particularly when stock prices are up. The positive news…

Jeremy Barnumcompany“Hike / Hiked” · qa · 12:24Hear it 12:22, Jeremy Barnum

…modeled consumer deposit betas. So about a quarter of that is the hikes that are currently in the forward curve. I think there's one in…

Jamie Dimoncompany“Credit Card” · qa · 40:49Hear it 40:45, Jamie Dimon

…But if you take a big step back, banking services are necessary, credit cards and debit cards and movement of money and insured deposits and…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jpmorgan:2026-10-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jpmorgan:2026-10-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP