Will “Japan” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Japan” was said on Lemonade Stand in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

72%from settlement history only · n=6counts: anyone
Last 10
5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=japan

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Japan

Probability
72% · n=6
Settled
5/6 (83%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Speaker not labelled1:22:30In transcript

a nascent market in China. And obviously they're massive in Japan, they're massive all over the world, magic and all this. Do we think that…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Speaker not labelled57:51In transcript

…upcoming trip right where like i'm having to figure out hotels for japan and whatnot and to be able to say here all the parameters…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Speaker not labelled49:05In transcript

…you can see the front wheel lifting. This is like a Shinkansen in Japan, but you just have no windshield, and you're on a bike.

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · said 5 times (counts)

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Find “Japan” in this transcript

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not said

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · said 2 times (counts)

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Find “Japan” in this transcript

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 30, 2026JapanPolymarketYes1
Sep 23, 2026JapanPolymarketYes1
Sep 16, 2026JapanPolymarketYes1
Sep 9, 2026JapanPolymarketYes5
Sep 2, 2026JapanPolymarketNo0
Aug 26, 2026JapanPolymarketYes2

Questions

How often is “Japan” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Japan” was said on Lemonade Stand in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (83%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Japan” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Japan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/japan (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=japan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP