Fox News Sunday, September 6, 2026
On the Sep 6, 2026 episode of Fox News Sunday, 3 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 6 | 26 | ✓ | 25%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 4 | 24 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 0 | 20 | ✓ | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 16 | ✓ | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 12 | ✓ | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Solar / Windmill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space / NASA | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 24%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
0 matches for “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/fox-news-sunday:2026-09-06:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=fox-news-sunday:2026-09-06:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP