Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on Fox News Sunday next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Fox News Sunday in 3 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 3/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News Sunday
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 28% · n=9
- Settled
- 3/9 (33%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 19 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 21 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on Fox News Sunday?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Fox News Sunday in 3 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Fox News Sunday next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News Sunday: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-sunday/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP