Will “Republican” be said on Fox News Sunday next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Republican” was said on Fox News Sunday in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News Sunday
Republican
- Probability
- 26% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on Fox News Sunday?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Republican” was said on Fox News Sunday in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on Fox News Sunday next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News Sunday: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-sunday/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP