Will “Hormuz” be said on Fox News Sunday next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Hormuz” was said on Fox News Sunday in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

29%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News Sunday

Hormuz

Probability
29% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Chris Wright say during Fox News Sunday? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 6 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris Wrightguest6:43In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Sean Duffy say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Hassett say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ro Khanna say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Megan Romer say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rick Scott say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 6, 2026HormuzKalshiYes1
Aug 16, 2026HormuzKalshiNo–
Aug 9, 2026HormuzKalshiNo–
Jun 28, 2026HormuzKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Hormuz” said on Fox News Sunday?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Hormuz” was said on Fox News Sunday in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 28, 2026 (25%), most recently on Sep 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Hormuz” is said on Fox News Sunday next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News Sunday: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-sunday/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP