Will “Election” be said on Fox News Sunday next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Fox News Sunday in 3 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 3/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News Sunday
Election
- Probability
- 29% · n=9
- Settled
- 3/9 (33%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Election |  Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Election | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Election” said on Fox News Sunday?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Fox News Sunday in 3 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Election” is said on Fox News Sunday next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News Sunday: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-sunday/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-sunday&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP