Lemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 2, 2026
On the Sep 2, 2026 episode of Lemonade Stand, 5 of the 8 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 8 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
8 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money | Yes | 60 | 60 | ✓ | 85%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 10+ times | Yes | 46 | 46 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 57%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 88%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Experimental | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · Lemonade Stand podcast audio (Vox Media), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
60 matches for “Money”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…even though that is the case with executive orders, you can't spend money that Congress did not budget or appropriate, which is why things like…
…Where it's like we basically won. It was like basically done by 60 days. We're still spending money and fighting, but like it's basically won.
…lot of a focus on affordability, stopping corruption in D.C., getting more money to low-income Alaskans, cutting taxes for low-income Alaskans. So it's fairly like…
And it is an exploration of the quantity of dark money involved in our elections now and specifically the 2026 midterms right now. And for…
…groups that aren't obligated to disclose their donors that then send that money to super PACs or PACs that then donate it to actual political.
Where the listed words were said
…written by one of the justices mentioned that the transparency of how money is spent will be the self-regulating thing around why this is okay.
Even in this time where Trump has kind of stacked the Supreme Court and we have a heavily Republican-leaning Supreme Court, there has been decisions…
done a bunch of blue collar work for decades he's like a retired teacher and worked in the forest service and this is dan oh…
…he has been there since 2015 and alaska traditionally is a very red state trump won alaska in the last presidential election by 13 okay…
…a national security risk to us. If all of of a sudden China comes in and bays Taiwan, they scoop up all these chips, we're…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/lemonade-stand:2026-09-02:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=lemonade-stand:2026-09-02:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP