John Deere (DE): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026

On its Aug 20, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), John Deere said 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Tariff Yes1520✓96%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 11:55, Tariff–
Excavator Yes56✓70%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 34:49, Excavator–
Fertilizer Yes55✓53%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 18:45, Fertilizer–
Headwind Yes13✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 49:37, Headwind–
Tailwind Yes13✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 34:16, Tailwind–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes11✓60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 54:36, Oil / Gas / Gasoline–
Efficiency Yes11✓55%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 16:31, Efficiency–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes11✓35%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 27:30, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
Repair Yes12✓16%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 55:07, Repair–
Automation No00✓87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend No00✓68%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Manufacturing No00✓54%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Warranty No00✓49%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran / Middle East No00✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Weather No00✓28%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Middle East No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Repair”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Angel Castilloanalystqa · 53:42Hear it 53:38, Angel Castillo

…FTC settlement, could you comment on that, just on the right to repair issue and just what, if any, implications that might have on your…

Brent Norwoodcompanyqa · 55:09Hear it 55:03, Brent Norwood

…first and foremost, John Deere has always supported our customers' ability to repair their own equipment for themselves or use whatever third party they trust…

Where the listed words were said

Chris Seibertcompany“Tariff” · prepared · 11:57Hear it 11:55, Chris Seibert

…consensus expectations for both revenue and profitability. The quarter also included multiple tariff-related developments. We recognized $110 million of incremental refunds in Q3, slightly above…

Brent Norwoodcompany“Excavator” · qa · 34:51Hear it 34:49, Brent Norwood

Hey, Tami. This is Brent. With respect to the excavator launch, we did launch the first models of our excavator, our Deere-designed excavator, earlier this…

Deanna Kovarcompany“Fertilizer” · prepared · 18:47Hear it 18:42, Deanna Kovar

…the near term. Farmers continue to contend with elevated production costs, particularly fertilizer expenses, as well as a higher interest rate environment that has weighed…

Brent Norwoodcompany“Headwind” · qa · 49:39Hear it 49:33, Brent Norwood

…net tariffs, so direct tariffs paid less any refunds, will be a headwind going into next year. We'll end up paying about $1.1 billion in…

Chris Seibertcompany“Tailwind” · qa · 34:18Hear it 34:16, Chris Seibert

…are five out of 12 months. You can expect another, call it tailwind for fiscal year 2027 as a result of these changes. Thanks for…

Chris Seibertcompany“Oil / Gas / Gasoline” · qa · 54:38Hear it 54:37, Chris Seibert

…to tell you that it is dynamic right now. You think about oil prices, how they move and what that means. Also from a tariff…

Chris Seibertcompany“Efficiency” · prepared · 16:33Hear it 16:27, Chris Seibert

…continue to invest selectively in productivity-enhancing equipment and solutions that improve operating efficiency and support long-term profitability. In Turf, we continue to see encouraging…

Deanna Kovarcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · prepared · 27:32Hear it 27:28, Deanna Kovar

We will soon build on that foundation with AI-enabled capabilities designed to unlock even more value from the data within Operations Center. Today, more than…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/john-deere:2026-08-20:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=john-deere:2026-08-20:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP