Will John Deere say “Weather”?
John Deere did not say “Weather” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere did not say “Weather” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 26, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Deere
Weather
- Probability
- 16% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…America were better than expected, reflected improvement in consumer confidence and favorable weather conditions. Year-over-year retail sales also increased for both tractors in Europe and…
…oilseeds, which make up over half of the crop receipts in Canada. Weather conditions have also been favorable, driving expectations for better crop outcomes. Lastly,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…as we think about demand for ethanol. And then certainly, there's always weather impacts that can be impactful. So I think use is important, certainly,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the region continue to deteriorate. Lingering headwinds include depressed yields from unfavorable weather, reduced regional commodity prices, and persistently elevated input costs. The confluence…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did John Deere say “Weather” on its last earnings call?
- John Deere did not say “Weather” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does John Deere say “Weather”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere did not say “Weather” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 26, 2025.
- What is the probability John Deere says “Weather” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Deere: ‘Weather’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE/words/weather (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-deere&word=weather · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-deere&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP