Will John Deere say “Tailwind”?

John Deere said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 0, 6, 0, 3, 4, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

John Deere

Tailwind

Probability
77% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris Seibertcompanyqa · 34:18Hear it 34:16, Chris Seibert In transcript

…are five out of 12 months. You can expect another, call it tailwind for fiscal year 2027 as a result of these changes. Thanks for…

Steve Fisheranalystqa · 49:10Hear it 49:04, Steve Fisher In transcript

…equal, would that be a headwind going into next year or a tailwind or neutral? I know all else is not going to be equal…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Josh BealcompanypreparedIn transcript

…forecasted, particularly in the road building business. Foreign currency was also a tailwind in the quarter versus last year, largely driven by a weaker U.S.…

Chris SeibertcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Q1 earnings call. As you noted, we benefited from a one-time tariff tailwind in the second quarter. What should we expect from here, and how…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Christopher SeibertcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Additionally, proposed government policy actions, including additional support for biofuels, provide potential tailwinds for growth. For small ag and turf in the U.S. and Canada,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Nov 26, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 14, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 13, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Nov 21, 2024 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 20, 2026TailwindKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did John Deere say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
John Deere said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 0, 6, 0, 3, 4, 1 times.
How often does John Deere say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026.
What is the probability John Deere says “Tailwind” next time?
77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “John Deere: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

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