Will John Deere say “Warranty”?

John Deere did not say “Warranty” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Warranty” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

John Deere

Warranty

Probability
37% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christopher SeibertcompanypreparedIn transcript

…decrease was primarily due to higher tariffs, unfavorable sales mix and higher warranty expenses. Moving on to Small Ag & Turf on Slide 5. Net…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Nov 26, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christopher SeibertcompanypreparedIn transcript

…year to $25 million. The decrease was primarily due to higher tariffs, warranty expenses, and production costs. Slide seven details our fiscal year 2026 ag…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Aug 14, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christopher SeibertcompanypreparedIn transcript

…margin. The decrease was primarily due to tariffs, partially offset by lower warranty expenses and lower production costs. Slide 6 gives our 2025 industry outlook…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Feb 13, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Nov 21, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 20, 2026WarrantyKalshiNo0
May 21, 2026WarrantyKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026WarrantyKalshiYes1
Nov 26, 2025WarrantyKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did John Deere say “Warranty” on its last earnings call?
John Deere did not say “Warranty” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does John Deere say “Warranty”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Warranty” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026.
What is the probability John Deere says “Warranty” next time?
37%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “John Deere: ‘Warranty’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE/words/warranty (CC BY 4.0)

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