Will John Deere say “Headwind”?
John Deere said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 2, 7, 2, 7, 0, 8, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Deere
Headwind
- Probability
- 87% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…net tariffs, so direct tariffs paid less any refunds, will be a headwind going into next year. We'll end up paying about $1.1 billion in…
…and if all else were to be equal, would that be a headwind going into next year or a tailwind or neutral? I know all…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…However, customer sentiment remains muted despite recent grain price increases as growers' margins face headwinds from elevated and volatile input costs and high interest rates.
…time we were at a similar point in the cycle, despite the headwind that comes from tariffs. This enables us to sustain record investment across…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…between 11-13%, reflecting stability in international markets amidst incremental tariff and mix headwinds with Large Ag in the U.S. declining another year. Slide nine provides…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Headwind |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did John Deere say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- John Deere said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 2, 7, 2, 7, 0, 8, 1 times.
- How often does John Deere say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, John Deere said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability John Deere says “Headwind” next time?
- 87%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Deere: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
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