John Deere (DE)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 49 word markets on John Deere’s earnings calls since 2025, on 21 different words.
History Wall
1–21 of 21, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Nov '24 | Q1’25Feb '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Aug '25 | Q4’25Nov '25 | Q1’26Feb '26 | Q2’26May '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 27 times: Tariff, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 27 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 24 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 20 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 42 times: Tariff, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 15 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 17/7722% | 97%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Automation | 1 time: Automation, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Automation, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Automation, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Automation, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 7 times: Automation, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: Automation, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Automation, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Automation, Q3’26 Aug '26 | rising | 6/875% | 5/862% | 22/7729% | 74%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dividend | 1 time: Dividend, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Dividend, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Dividend, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dividend, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Dividend, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Dividend, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Dividend, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Dividend, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 50/7765% | 51%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 May '25 | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 12/7716% | 46%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Efficiency | 1 time: Efficiency, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Efficiency, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Efficiency, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Efficiency, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Efficiency, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 4 times: Efficiency, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Efficiency, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: Efficiency, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 6/875% | 40/7752% | 66%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Warranty | 1 time: Warranty, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Warranty, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Warranty, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Warranty, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Warranty, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Warranty, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Warranty, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Warranty, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 5/862% | 5/862% | 21/7727% | 37%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Manufacturing | 1 time: Manufacturing, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Manufacturing, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Manufacturing, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Manufacturing, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Manufacturing, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Manufacturing, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 3 times: Manufacturing, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Manufacturing, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 3/838% | 32/7742% | 39%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Weather | 1 time: Weather, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Weather, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Weather, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Weather, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Weather, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Weather, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Weather, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Weather, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 53/7769% | 16%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Precision Upgrade | 1 time: Precision Upgrade, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Precision Upgrade, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 1/812% | 1/812% | 5/776% | 14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 2 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 3 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 41/7753% | 69%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Middle East | 0 times: Middle East, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Middle East, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Middle East, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Middle East, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Middle East, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Middle East, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Middle East, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Middle East, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/771% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Data Center | 0 times: Data Center, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Data Center, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Data Center, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Data Center, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Data Center, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Data Center, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Data Center, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Data Center, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 4/775% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Excavator | 0 times: Excavator, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Excavator, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 2 times: Excavator, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Excavator, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Excavator, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 7 times: Excavator, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Excavator, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Excavator, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 20/7726% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Fertilizer | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Fertilizer, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 6 times: Fertilizer, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Fertilizer, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 21/7727% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Headwind | 7 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: Headwind, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 7 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 8 times: Headwind, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 48/7762% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Repair | 0 times: Repair, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Repair, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Repair, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Repair, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Repair, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Repair, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Repair, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: Repair, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 5/776% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tailwind | 3 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 May '25 | 6 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 3 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 38/7749% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tenna | 0 times: Tenna, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tenna, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tenna, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Tenna, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Tenna, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 5 times: Tenna, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tenna, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tenna, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/774% | 69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| EPA | 0 times: EPA, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: EPA, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: EPA, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: EPA, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: EPA, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: EPA, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: EPA, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: EPA, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/771% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Iran / Middle East | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 3 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/773% | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 2 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 3/838% | 21/7727% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 49 of 49 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 16 | 9 yes · 7 no | 16/16 (100%) |
| May 21, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 5 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 8 yes · 4 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 15, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 16, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “John Deere (DE): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DE (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/john-deere · words: /api/v1/history?entity=john-deere · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP