American Airlines (AAL): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026
On its Jul 23, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), American Airlines said 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago / O’Hare | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Record | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 79%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Basic Economy | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Weather | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Athens / Zurich | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| AT&T | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Centennial | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Holiday | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Iran / Middle East | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Lavazza | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| ATC | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Norfolk / Virginia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
58 matches for “Premium”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…in four pillars: Elevate the Customer Experience, Grow the Global Network, Drive Premium Revenue, and Lead in Loyalty. Executing solidly on that strategy in the…
…years, with significant progress across each of our four pillars. Being a premium global airline means delivering an outstanding customer experience in the air and…
…refreshed lounges. American Airlines continues to lead the industry with the most premium lounges and will further expand our lounge footprint in New York and…
…the intended results, winning back high-value customers and setting the stage for premium revenue growth. Premium revenue continues to outpace non-premium, and we've been especially…
…each of them for the commitment to excellence that makes American a premium global airline, one that flies more customers every year than any other…
Where the listed words were said
…the first quarter. Our biggest enrollment growth occurred in New York City, Chicago, and Los Angeles, and we saw substantial international growth as well. Our…
…and thanks to the entire American team for delivering another quarter of record revenue in this volatile fuel environment. In the second quarter, fuel expense…
…the quarter. We also saw a 5-point increase in upsell rates from basic economy to Main Cabin for tickets sold in the second quarter following…
…our position in high-demand international markets in the quarter. We launched new routes this spring including Budapest and Prague from Philadelphia, and Athens from DFW.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/american-airlines:2026-07-23:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=american-airlines:2026-07-23:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP