Will American Airlines say “Tariff”?
American Airlines did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines did not say “Tariff” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
American Airlines
Tariff
- Probability
- 14% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…that comes from more stability, tax bill. I think it comes from tariff deals being done with the U.K. recently announced Japan, hopefully something with…
And if I just may follow up, on the Embraer tariffs, we've heard that some airlines don't have to accept delivery of airplanes. Is that…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…at the end of the year that would be potentially subject to tariffs. The three twenty one XLRs that are built over in Europe But…
…aviation civil aviation. Because since nineteen seventy nine, we've operated under a tariff regime that has been zero for zero. No tariffs in and no…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did American Airlines say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- American Airlines did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does American Airlines say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines did not say “Tariff” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025.
- What is the probability American Airlines says “Tariff” next time?
- 14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “American Airlines: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAL/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-airlines&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP