Will American Airlines say “Weather”?
American Airlines did not say “Weather” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 3, 0, 5, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines said “Weather” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 38¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
American Airlines
Weather
- Probability
- 52% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…These enhancements are further supported by stronger operational performance. Regardless of the weather or other challenges, we've implemented numerous operational improvements and equipped our…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Fern. Ensuring our customers and team members remain safe during this challenging weather event. The impact of the storm is as significant as we've ever…
…we've had to cancel more than 9,000 flights, making this the largest weather-related operational disruption in our history. We expect at least two more days…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the challenges of a tragic accident, significant and continued ATC delays, unprecedented weather, the full financial cost of new collective bargaining agreements and a material…
…another call that -- we've had almost 800 diversion events and 5,500-plus weather cancellations just in the first 3 weeks of July. Now that is…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did American Airlines say “Weather” on its last earnings call?
- American Airlines did not say “Weather” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 3, 0, 5, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does American Airlines say “Weather”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines said “Weather” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability American Airlines says “Weather” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “American Airlines: ‘Weather’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAL/words/weather (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-airlines&word=weather · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP