American Airlines (AAL)

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 55 word markets on American Airlines’ earnings calls since 2025, on 20 different words. Next call: Jan 28, 2027 (14 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

14 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

American Airlines: the words listed for Thu, Jan 28, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ4’24Jan '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25Oct '25Q4’25year agoQ1’26Apr '26Q2’26Jul '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Chicago / O’Hare5 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said13 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said7 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said13 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said17 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said19 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said6 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said6 times: Chicago / O’Hare, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%7/888%44/7856%96%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Premium3+ times15 times: Premium (3+ times), Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said16 times: Premium (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said22 times: Premium (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said50 times: Premium (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said44 times: Premium (3+ times), Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said23 times: Premium (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said49 times: Premium (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said33 times: Premium (3+ times), Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%38/7849%96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Citi10 times: Citi, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said6 times: Citi, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Citi, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said12 times: Citi, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said9 times: Citi, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Citi, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said6 times: Citi, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said3 times: Citi, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%46/7859%90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Record9 times: Record, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Record, Q1’25 Apr '251 time: Record, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Record, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Record, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Record, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Record, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said1 time: Record, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%7/888%65/7883%85%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Flagship Suite5 times: Flagship Suite, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: Flagship Suite, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Flagship Suite, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Flagship Suite, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Flagship Suite, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Flagship Suite, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Flagship Suite, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Flagship Suite, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%6/875%13/7817%82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts86¢ Kalshi
Basic Economy0 times: Basic Economy, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Basic Economy, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Basic Economy, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Basic Economy, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: Basic Economy, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Basic Economy, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Basic Economy, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Basic Economy, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%20/7826%71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts78¢ Kalshi
Weather0 times: Weather, Q4’24 Jan '251 time: Weather, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Weather, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Weather, Q3’25 Oct '255 times: Weather, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Weather, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Weather, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Weather, Q3’26 Oct '26steady4/850%4/850%39/7850%52%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts38¢ Kalshi
Shutdown / Shut Down0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jul '252 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’26 Oct '26steady2/825%2/825%10/7813%40%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts12¢ Kalshi
AT&T0 times: AT&T, Q4’24 Jan '252 times: AT&T, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: AT&T, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: AT&T, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: AT&T, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: AT&T, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: AT&T, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: AT&T, Q3’26 Oct '26falling5/862%4/850%8/7810%36%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts16¢ Kalshi
Centennial0 times: Centennial, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Centennial, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Centennial, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Centennial, Q3’25 Oct '252 times: Centennial, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Centennial, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Centennial, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Centennial, Q3’26 Oct '26rising2/825%2/825%2/783%34%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts8¢ Kalshi
Holiday0 times: Holiday, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Holiday, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Holiday, Q2’25 Jul '252 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Holiday, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Holiday, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Holiday, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Holiday, Q3’26 Oct '26steady2/825%1/812%30/7838%24%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts38¢ Kalshi
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '251 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jan '261 time: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Oct '26steady2/825%0/80%7/789%19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts14¢ Kalshi
Lavazza0 times: Lavazza, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Lavazza, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Lavazza, Q2’25 Jul '252 times: Lavazza, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said0 times: Lavazza, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Lavazza, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Lavazza, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Lavazza, Q3’26 Oct '26steady1/812%1/812%1/781%14%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts4¢ Kalshi
STARLUXnever said0 times: STARLUX, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: STARLUX, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: STARLUX, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: STARLUX, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: STARLUX, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: STARLUX, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: STARLUX, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: STARLUX, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/780%11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts26¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 22:06 UTC.

Every word

1–6 of 6, most settled first
American Airlines: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ4’24Jan '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25Oct '25Q4’25Jan '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26Jul '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '254 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26falling2/825%0/80%3/784%14%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
World Cup0 times: World Cup, Q4’24 Jan '251 time: World Cup, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said0 times: World Cup, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: World Cup, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: World Cup, Q4’25 Jan '262 times: World Cup, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: World Cup, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: World Cup, Q3’26 Oct '26steady2/825%1/812%4/785%22%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
ATC0 times: ATC, Q4’24 Jan '251 time: ATC, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: ATC, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: ATC, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: ATC, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: ATC, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: ATC, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: ATC, Q3’26 Oct '26falling2/825%2/825%8/7810%15%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Athens / Zurich0 times: Athens / Zurich, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Athens / Zurich, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Athens / Zurich, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Athens / Zurich, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Athens / Zurich, Q4’25 Jan '262 times: Athens / Zurich, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Athens / Zurich, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Athens / Zurich, Q3’26 Oct '26rising2/825%1/812%6/788%36%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Norfolk / Virginianever said0 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Norfolk / Virginia, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/780%11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Technology7 times: Technology, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Technology, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Technology, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Technology, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said7 times: Technology, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Technology, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Technology, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Technology, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%40/7851%87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 55 of 55 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Oct 22, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript165 yes · 11 no16/16 (100%)
Jul 23, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript155 yes · 10 no15/15 (100%)
Apr 23, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 27, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript127 yes · 5 no12/12 (100%)
Oct 23, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript127 yes · 5 no12/12 (100%)
Jul 24, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 24, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 23, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 24, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 25, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 25, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 25, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “American Airlines (AAL): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAL (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/american-airlines · words: /api/v1/history?entity=american-airlines · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP