Will American Airlines say “Holiday”?
American Airlines did not say “Holiday” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines said “Holiday” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 23¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
American Airlines
Holiday
- Probability
- 24% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…2025 with resilience, and for taking care of our customers throughout the holiday period. And I especially want to recognize the tremendous efforts of our…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…those and putting those into service really gives us a capital spending holiday in terms of fleet replacement. So it's a win-win-win for our customers,…
…and December, I think we're getting very encouraged by the way the holiday periods are booking and seeing as we have throughout the year during…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did American Airlines say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- American Airlines did not say “Holiday” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does American Airlines say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, American Airlines said “Holiday” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 27, 2026.
- What is the probability American Airlines says “Holiday” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “American Airlines: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAL/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=american-airlines&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=american-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP