American Airlines (AAL): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026
On its Jul 23, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), American Airlines said 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago / O’Hare | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Record | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 79%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Basic Economy | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Weather | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Athens / Zurich | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| AT&T | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 61%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Centennial | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Holiday | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Iran / Middle East | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| World Cup | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Lavazza | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| ATC | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Norfolk / Virginia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…in all of our hubs and gateways by reestablishing our presence in Chicago O'Hare, growing in Philadelphia and Phoenix, and flying our largest schedules ever…
…implemented over the past few years are producing meaningful results. We achieved record quarterly revenue on year-over-year growth of more than 16%. Every entity we…
…the quarter. We also saw a 5-point increase in upsell rates from basic economy to Main Cabin for tickets sold in the second quarter following…
…These enhancements are further supported by stronger operational performance. Regardless of the weather or other challenges, we've implemented numerous operational improvements and equipped our…
…our position in high-demand international markets in the quarter. We launched new routes this spring including Budapest and Prague from Philadelphia, and Athens from DFW.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/american-airlines:2026-07-23:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=american-airlines:2026-07-23:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP